Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton | Harvard | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.8% | 2.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.8% | 2.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Harvard -15 (48-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.