Model Predictions
| Model | Cornell | Brown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Brown -3 (76-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.