Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine | Pacific | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific -7 (55-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.