Model Predictions
| Model | Navy | Lehigh | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.7% | 2.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.8% | 2.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lehigh -36 (53-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.