Model Predictions
| Model | George Washington | Xavier | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier +12 (88-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.