Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte | Memphis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis +11 (78-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.