Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh | Georgetown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgetown +12 (62-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.