Model Predictions
| Model | Bucknell | Colgate | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colgate -4 (71-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.