Model Predictions
| Model | Temple | Cincinnati | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cincinnati -8 (69-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.