Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland | Wake Forest | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest -6 (67-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.