Model Predictions
| Model | Quinnipiac | Robert Morris | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Robert Morris -3 (99-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.