Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota | Purdue | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue +36 (97-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.