Model Predictions
| Model | Holy Cross | Navy | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy +7 (58-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.