Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette | Lehigh | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lehigh -14 (63-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.