Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi Valley State | Jackson State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State +18 (91-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.