Model Predictions
| Model | Yale | Harvard | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Harvard +19 (70-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.