Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State | Eastern Washington | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Washington +7 (74-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.