Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State | Eastern Illinois | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois -1 (71-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.