Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State | Delaware State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Delaware State +2 (78-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.