Model Predictions
| Model | Texas | Baylor | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.5% | 2.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.6% | 2.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor -22 (38-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.