Model Predictions
| Model | Brown | Harvard | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Harvard +7 (70-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.