Model Predictions
| Model | Maine | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel -33 (53-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.