Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State | Stetson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson -8 (66-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.