Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State | Pacific | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific -10 (66-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.