Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn | Vanderbilt | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Vanderbilt -6 (80-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.