Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M | Baylor | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor +9 (63-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.