Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech -10 (76-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.