Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland–Eastern Shore | Hampton | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Hampton -1 (58-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.