Model Predictions
| Model | DePaul | Cincinnati | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati +23 (87-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.