Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy | Wright State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wright State +3 (64-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.