Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech +11 (79-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.