Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate | Lehigh | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lehigh -22 (43-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.