Model Predictions
| Model | Northeastern | Delaware | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Delaware +16 (80-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.