Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio | Akron | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron +2 (81-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.