Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland State | Wright State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wright State +3 (91-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.