Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin | Lamar | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lamar +7 (82-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.