Model Predictions
| Model | Hampton | Duquesne | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duquesne -7 (64-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.