Model Predictions
| Model | Canisius | Xavier | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier +9 (87-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.