Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State | Vanderbilt | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt +1 (65-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.