Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State | Davidson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | โ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | โ |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | โ |
Actual: Davidson +27 (87-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.