Model Predictions
| Model | Stony Brook | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cornell +5 (79-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.