Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Methodist | Rice | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rice -15 (50-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.