Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas | Oklahoma State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma State +33 (86-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.