Model Predictions
| Model | Maine | Northeastern | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northeastern -12 (67-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.