Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College | Vanderbilt | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt +18 (76-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.