Model Predictions
| Model | Towson | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel +18 (63-45). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.