Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina | Clemson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Clemson -13 (60-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.