Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh | Army | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Army -26 (49-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.