Model Predictions
| Model | California | UCLA | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCLA -3 (70-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.