Model Predictions
| Model | Coppin State | Howard | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Howard -25 (61-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.